A new forecast shows that the year when the world will exceed the 1.5°C global warming cap set by international governments for the first time is fast approaching.
According to scientists led by the UK Met Office, there is a 50% chance that the limit will be exceeded in one of the next five years. As recently as 2015, the probability of this happening in the following five years was zero. But the probability has risen to 20% in 2020 and 40% in 2021. The average global temperature in 2021 was 1.1°C above pre-industrial levels.
It is also virtually sure – 93% – that 2026 will be a year the warmest ever recorded, surpassing 2016 when a natural El Niño climate event drove up temperatures. It is also confident that average temperatures will be higher in the next five years than in the past five years as the climate crisis intensifies.
Natural climate cycles can drive global temperatures up or down. But the Paris Agreement requires nations to address the underlying.
The annual forecast uses the best forecasting systems from climate centers worldwide to produce practical information for decision-makers. The prophecy found that in 2022, northern Europe, the Sahel, northeastern Brazil, and Australia are expected to receive more rain than the average of the past 30 years, while drier-than-normal conditions are predicted for southwestern Europe and southwestern North America.
Prof. Taalas also warned that warming at the North Pole is remarkably rapid: “Warming in the Arctic is disproportionate, and what happens in the Arctic affects us all.” Shrinking sea ice and its effects have been linked to extreme weather events in Europe, North America, and Asia, including heat waves, floods, and even snowstorms.
In summary
The effect of what humans do now significantly impact our planet, as read above in the article. So, it is essential to start the change and develop a better world for future generations. That is what we strive for at Next energy to create and establish green projects that will significantly impact future generations.
